This is never more true than during periods of flux and transition, when policymakers are subjected to the unsteadying influences of broken patterns, unusual events, and an inability to discern trends or anticipate future trajectories. To the contrary, to the extent that the United States does not adequately account for how its own approach to integrating these technologies into its deterrent strategies can cause misperception, instability, and miscalculation, it does not minimize opportunity for war - it creates it. Machine learning, autonomy, hypersonics, and other advanced technologies doubtless should and will be brought into military use but doing so doesn’t ensure deterrent effect, and neither is seeking to deter China and Russia selfsame as guarding against war. History informs us, however, that deterrence is never as logical, straightforward, and simple in practice as it seems it should be. These scenarios have brought deterrent strategies back into fashion, and momentum is gathering behind the idea that deterrence is best achieved by amassing high-tech conventional warfighting superiority. Both concerns arise specifically from worries about China’s intentions over Taiwan and about Russia’s designs on NATO’s eastern front. This change is not lost on the defense community today, and there is a considerable amount of attention being given to the conjoined matters of how to prepare for great power war and how to prevent it. The consequences of misapplying brute force, and of neglecting or mistaking how to actively guard against war, will be harsh and unforgiving during a period of aggressive competition among powerful states. The post-Cold War environment was permissive of these misunderstandings and missteps, and relatively lenient in its imposition of costs on the United States. This is not mission-creep - it is war doing what war does. government made in Afghanistan without seeing a steady accumulation of opportunities for the war to expand in space, to change in character, and to extend over time. And, too, it is difficult to review the chronology of choices the U.S. It is evidence that the United States has yet to let go of a mistaken set of beliefs about what brute force war can, and cannot, achieve. The United States’ 20-year-long intervention in Afghanistan is a painful example of a failure to heed Betts’ warning in both ways. It also alerts us that war is opportunistic, that it can start and spread as a result of accidental events, seemingly mundane decisions, and a conspiracy of circumstances that arise when we are arrogant or inattentive. Sarah Chown, owner of Metropolitain Brasserie and Ottawa regional chair of the Ontario Restaurant, Hotel & Motel Association, said many in her sector are teetering on the edge.Betts’ caution reminds us that violent conflict has been a feature of all of human history and so we ought to understand it and to prepare for it. "They're opening cautiously and taking all precautions necessary in order to ensure that doesn't happen in our area." "With a possible third wave, that is in their back mind, that this could possibly be temporary," she said. Lauri Moussa, executive director of the Kanata Central Business Improvement Area, said many of her members see that as a very real possibility. That possibility of yet another shutdown is looming over many businesses, especially with the emergence of new, more contagious coronavirus variants. really relieved, to be honest. Just really relieved that we can get back to it." Reopening a 'balancing act' "I don't think that we'll be booking out any further than two months at a time, so that if this is to happen again, I'm not in a position where I have four months of catching up to do," she said. "Otherwise, I'm just. Whitelocke said she and her staff are now busy rearranging appointments, but will be "a little bit more restrictive with the bookings" going forward. "We have 12 weeks of catching up to do," said Paula Whitelocke, owner of Curly Hair Designs, an Ottawa salon. Ontario will let more businesses reopen, gradually lift stay-at-home orders.Gyms, restaurants, hair salons to reopen Tuesday in Ottawa, EOHU.The news came as a relief to many business owners who've had to keep their doors closed since late December. Starting Tuesday, businesses including restaurants, gyms and salons will be allowed to welcome customers, with some ongoing restrictions. With the provincewide stay-at-home order lifting in Ottawa and nearby communities next week, local businesses are approaching the reopening with cautious optimism.
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